This means by pure luck you have a 1/3 chance of finding true love if you always pick the first person. How often does this strategy find the best overall person? For the specifics, there are 6 possible dating orders, and the strategy wins in three cases.(The notation 3 1 2 means you dated the worst person first, then the best, and then the second best. The Best Strategy for the General Case From the example, you can infer the best strategy is to reject some number of people ( people.You also have a 1/3 chance if you always pick the last person, or always pick the second. I marked the person that the strategy would pick in bold and indicated a win if the strategy picked the best candidate overall.)You increase your odds by learning information from the first person. When you go through the math, the odds do not change as you date more people.Here’s a link, but if it is broken do a search and try to find the slides: slides. Suppose that Americans have between five to ten relationships before marriage.
In this statistics game, you search for your true love by dating and having relationships with various people.
Your only goal is to find the best person willing to date you–any thing less is a failure. You can start thinking about the solution by wondering what your strategies are.
Yes, it’s not perfect–but I’d say that’s pretty good for a really difficult problem.
Modeling the True Love Game Dating and relationships are complicated social interactions so they need to be simplified before coming up with any meaningful analysis.
So for all you reasonable romantics, I offer this hope: if you follow this advice, you’ll maximize your chance of finding true love.